Hubert Baniecki | publications

arXiv

Performance is not enough: the story of Rashomon's quartet

P. Biecek, H. Baniecki, M. Krzyzinski, D. Cook

arXiv:2302.13356v2, 2023

Abstract arXiv Code

Predictive modelling is often reduced to finding the best model that optimizes a selected performance measure. But what if the second-best model describes the data equally well but in a completely different way? What about the third? Is it possible that the most effective models learn completely different relationships in the data? Inspired by Anscombe's quartet, this paper introduces Rashomon's quartet, a synthetic dataset for which four models from different classes have practically identical predictive performance. However, their visualization reveals drastically distinct ways of understanding the correlation structure in data. The introduced simple illustrative example aims to further facilitate visualization as a mandatory tool to compare predictive models beyond their performance. We need to develop insightful techniques for the explanatory analysis of model sets.

preprints

refereed

AIME oral

Hospital Length of Stay Prediction Based on Multi-modal Data towards Trustworthy Human-AI Collaboration in Radiomics

H. Baniecki, B. Sobieski, P. Bombinski, P. Szatkowski, P. Biecek

In: International Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Medicine (AIME), 2023

Abstract arXiv Code

To what extent can the patient's length of stay in a hospital be predicted using only an X-ray image? We answer this question by comparing the performance of machine learning survival models on a novel multi-modal dataset created from 1235 images with textual radiology reports annotated by humans. Although black-box models predict better on average than interpretable ones, like Cox proportional hazards, they are not inherently understandable. To overcome this trust issue, we introduce time-dependent model explanations into the human-AI decision making process. Explaining models built on both: human-annotated and algorithm-extracted radiomics features provides valuable insights for physicians working in a hospital. We believe the presented approach to be general and widely applicable to other time-to-event medical use cases. For reproducibility, we open-source code and the TLOS dataset at https://github.com/mi2datalab/xlungs-trustworthy-los-prediction.
K-B. Systems

SurvSHAP(t): Time-dependent explanations of machine learning survival models

M. Krzyzinski, M. Spytek, H. Baniecki, P. Biecek

Knowledge-Based Systems, 2023

Abstract Paper arXiv Code

Machine and deep learning survival models demonstrate similar or even improved time-to-event prediction capabilities compared to classical statistical learning methods yet are too complex to be interpreted by humans. Several model-agnostic explanations are available to overcome this issue; however, none directly explain the survival function prediction. In this paper, we introduce SurvSHAP(t), the first time-dependent explanation that allows for interpreting survival black-box models. It is based on SHapley Additive exPlanations with solid theoretical foundations and a broad adoption among machine learning practitioners. The proposed methods aim to enhance precision diagnostics and support domain experts in making decisions. Experiments on synthetic and medical data confirm that SurvSHAP(t) can detect variables with a time-dependent effect, and its aggregation is a better determinant of the importance of variables for a prediction than SurvLIME. SurvSHAP(t) is model-agnostic and can be applied to all models with functional output. We provide an accessible implementation of time-dependent explanations in Python at https://github.com/MI2DataLab/survshap.
DMKD special issue

The grammar of interactive explanatory model analysis

H. Baniecki, D. Parzych, P. Biecek

Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery, 2023
Interactive model analysis improves the performance of human decision making.

Abstract Paper arXiv Website

The growing need for in-depth analysis of predictive models leads to a series of new methods for explaining their local and global properties. Which of these methods is the best? It turns out that this is an ill-posed question. One cannot sufficiently explain a black-box machine learning model using a single method that gives only one perspective. Isolated explanations are prone to misunderstanding, leading to wrong or simplistic reasoning. This problem is known as the Rashomon effect and refers to diverse, even contradictory, interpretations of the same phenomenon. Surprisingly, most methods developed for explainable and responsible machine learning focus on a single-aspect of the model behavior. In contrast, we showcase the problem of explainability as an interactive and sequential analysis of a model. This paper proposes how different Explanatory Model Analysis (EMA) methods complement each other and discusses why it is essential to juxtapose them. The introduced process of Interactive EMA (IEMA) derives from the algorithmic side of explainable machine learning and aims to embrace ideas developed in cognitive sciences. We formalize the grammar of IEMA to describe human-model interaction. It is implemented in a widely used human-centered open-source software framework that adopts interactivity, customizability and automation as its main traits. We conduct a user study to evaluate the usefulness of IEMA, which indicates that an interactive sequential analysis of a model may increase the accuracy and confidence of human decision making.
Sci. Rep.

Multi-omics disease module detection with an explainable Greedy Decision Forest

B. Pfeifer, H. Baniecki, A. Saranti, P. Biecek, A. Holzinger

Scientific Reports, 2022

Abstract Paper arXiv Code

Machine learning methods can detect complex relationships between variables, but usually do not exploit domain knowledge. This is a limitation because in many scientific disciplines, such as systems biology, domain knowledge is available in the form of graphs or networks, and its use can improve model performance. We need network-based algorithms that are versatile and applicable in many research areas. In this work, we demonstrate subnetwork detection based on multi-modal node features using a novel Greedy Decision Forest (GDF) with inherent interpretability. The latter will be a crucial factor to retain experts and gain their trust in such algorithms. To demonstrate a concrete application example, we focus on bioinformatics, systems biology and particularly biomedicine, but the presented methodology is applicable in many other domains as well. Systems biology is a good example of a field in which statistical data-driven machine learning enables the analysis of large amounts of multi-modal biomedical data. This is important to reach the future goal of precision medicine, where the complexity of patients is modeled on a system level to best tailor medical decisions, health practices and therapies to the individual patient. Our proposed explainable approach can help to uncover disease-causing network modules from multi-omics data to better understand complex diseases such as cancer.
ECML PKDD oral

Fooling Partial Dependence via Data Poisoning

H. Baniecki, W. Kretowicz, P. Biecek

In: European Conference on Machine Learning and PKDD (ECML PKDD), 2022
This work is the core of our BSc thesis defended at Warsaw University of Technology.

Abstract Paper arXiv Code Slides

Many methods have been developed to understand complex predictive models and high expectations are placed on post-hoc model explainability. It turns out that such explanations are not robust nor trustworthy, and they can be fooled. This paper presents techniques for attacking Partial Dependence (plots, profiles, PDP), which are among the most popular methods of explaining any predictive model trained on tabular data. We showcase that PD can be manipulated in an adversarial manner, which is alarming, especially in financial or medical applications where auditability became a must-have trait supporting black-box models. The fooling is performed via poisoning the data to bend and shift explanations in the desired direction using genetic and gradient algorithms. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work using a genetic algorithm for attacking explanations, which is highly transferable as it generalizes both ways: in a model-agnostic and an explanation-agnostic manner.
AAAI poster

Manipulating SHAP via Adversarial Data Perturbations (Student Abstract)

H. Baniecki, P. Biecek

In: AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), 2022

Abstract Paper Code Poster

We introduce a model-agnostic algorithm for manipulating SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) with perturbation of tabular data. It is evaluated on predictive tasks from healthcare and financial domains to illustrate how crucial is the context of data distribution in interpreting machine learning models. Our method supports checking the stability of the explanations used by various stakeholders apparent in the domain of responsible AI; moreover, the result highlights the explanations' vulnerability that can be exploited by an adversary.
JMLR award

dalex: Responsible Machine Learning with Interactive Explainability and Fairness in Python

H. Baniecki, W. Kretowicz, P. Piatyszek, J. Wisniewski, P. Biecek

Journal of Machine Learning Research, 2021
For this work, I received the 2022 John M. Chambers Statistical Software Award.

Abstract Paper arXiv Code Website

In modern machine learning, we observe the phenomenon of opaqueness debt, which manifests itself by an increased risk of discrimination, lack of reproducibility, and deflated performance due to data drift. An increasing amount of available data and computing power results in the growing complexity of black-box predictive models. To manage these issues, good MLOps practice asks for better validation of model performance and fairness, higher explainability, and continuous monitoring. The necessity for deeper model transparency comes from both scientific and social domains and is also caused by emerging laws and regulations on artificial intelligence. To facilitate the responsible development of machine learning models, we introduce dalex, a Python package which implements a model-agnostic interface for interactive explainability and fairness. It adopts the design crafted through the development of various tools for explainable machine learning; thus, it aims at the unification of existing solutions. This library's source code and documentation are available under open license at https://python.drwhy.ai.
AAAI poster

Responsible Prediction Making of COVID-19 Mortality (Student Abstract)

H. Baniecki, P. Biecek

In: AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI), 2021

Abstract Paper Poster Website

For high-stakes prediction making, the Responsible Artificial Intelligence (RAI) is more important than ever. It builds upon Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to advance the efforts in providing fairness, model explainability, and accountability to the AI systems. During the literature review of COVID-19 related prognosis and diagnosis, we found out that most of the predictive models are not faithful to the RAI principles, which can lead to biassed results and wrong reasoning. To solve this problem, we show how novel XAI techniques boost transparency, reproducibility and quality of models.
JOSS

modelStudio: Interactive studio with explanations for ML predictive models

H. Baniecki, P. Biecek

Journal of Open Source Software, 2019

Paper Code